Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.059410 0.067288 0.075337 0.084144 0.093482 0.103059 0.113598
2025-09-14 0.047610 0.059252 0.071711 0.085900 0.101488 0.117978 0.136634
2025-09-21 0.041083 0.055236 0.070946 0.089376 0.110132 0.132549 0.158366
2025-09-28 0.035034 0.050734 0.068766 0.090479 0.115453 0.142885 0.174925
2025-10-05 0.033590 0.051269 0.072055 0.097519 0.127204 0.160154 0.198972
2025-10-12 0.028463 0.046728 0.068894 0.096665 0.129592 0.166615 0.210689
2025-10-19 0.025336 0.044348 0.068057 0.098308 0.134662 0.175953 0.225498
2025-10-26 0.022105 0.041489 0.066361 0.098695 0.138074 0.183239 0.237846
2025-11-02 0.019808 0.039650 0.065774 0.100288 0.142797 0.191949 0.251746
2025-11-09 0.017279 0.037221 0.064233 0.100540 0.145785 0.198535 0.263115
2025-11-16 0.014028 0.033360 0.060535 0.097851 0.145020 0.200559 0.269058
2025-11-23 0.011310 0.029964 0.057222 0.095461 0.144465 0.202706 0.275036
2025-11-30 0.009806 0.028441 0.056534 0.096596 0.148468 0.210543 0.288023
2025-12-07 0.008654 0.027385 0.056453 0.098519 0.153479 0.219641 0.302579
2025-12-14 0.008085 0.027300 0.057748 0.102265 0.160787 0.231524 0.320454
2025-12-21 0.006972 0.026033 0.057200 0.103452 0.164797 0.239371 0.333508
2025-12-28 0.007399 0.027825 0.061294 0.111013 0.176995 0.257236 0.358554
2026-01-04 0.005973 0.025681 0.059280 0.110097 0.178244 0.261673 0.367510
2026-01-11 0.005241 0.024856 0.059233 0.111859 0.182919 0.270290 0.381465
2026-01-18 0.004353 0.023505 0.058268 0.112275 0.185801 0.276669 0.392708
2026-01-25 0.003776 0.022773 0.058242 0.113982 0.190348 0.285094 0.406409
2026-02-01 0.003059 0.021503 0.057251 0.114253 0.192963 0.291089 0.417148
2026-02-08 0.002065 0.019093 0.054168 0.111370 0.191300 0.291663 0.421227